http://kentridgecommon.com/?p=4038
The Kent Ridge Common, 7 Jun 2009, Kelvin Teo
Same old numbers game, same old story
SINGAPORE - We have another game in numbers, and this time round, it is
the ranking of Singapore’s civil service vis-à-vis that of other
nations in Asia. The study was interestingly conducted by the Hong
Kong-based Political and Economic Risk Consultancy culminating in a 12
page report. Its verdict? Singapore’s civil service is the most
efficient as compared with its Asian counterparts, but on the negative
side and I quote “during
difficult times - or when mistakes are made that reflect badly on the
system - there is a tendency among bureaucrats to circle the wagons in
ways that lack transparency and make accountability difficult.”
The interesting aspect of the study was that it was conducted through a poll of 1,274 expatriates working in 12 North and South Asian nations on the efficiency of bureaucrats in those countries. The first criticism that comes to mind is sample bias. Why is this so?
The first reason is due to the fact that companies would usually get
their local employees to deal directly with the bureaucrats from the
civil service. It is a common sense approach because the locals would
be more familiar with the civil service of their countries. Thus, one will query if the 1274 expatriates deal with the bureaucrats directly. Secondly, even if these expatriates do deal with the civil service, it
is possible that the bureaucrats could have adopted an accommodating
approach, especially if the government wants to attract multi-national
corporations (MNCs) or foreign-direct investments (FDI). And
since the civil service is the face of the government, obviously they
would want to leave behind a good impression. For instance, when the
Singapore government went into Suzhou, the latter had the support of
the Chinese president. And the Singapore consortium was accorded
freedom over planning and land-use, something that was unprecedented in
China, and enjoyed a break from handing tax revenues to the provincial
and central authorities.
Thus, it would have been more appropriate if
the studies surveyed those who have dealt directly with the civil
service which would obviously include the locals. And they should have
solicited the views of representatives from local businesses of every
country who have dealt with the civil service. Not only
would the results be more accurate, but they would get insightful
feedbacks from the local representatives on the nitty gritty realities
of dealing with the civil service.
The part which criticizes the civil service for circling around
difficult issues with lack of transparency and accountability is an old
story, which has been rehashed over and over again in the blogosphere. Type
in the words “SAF” + Cover + up + Singapore” on the Google search
engine and one could find pages alleging cover ups by SAF, especially
in incidents which reflect badly on the latter. And such have arisen due to the lack of disclosure regarding major incidents, which resulted in injuries or deaths. And
who could ever forget the 2 NTU professors who were chided by then
Manpower Minister Ng Eng Hen for alleging in a report that 90% of the
jobs went to foreigners? And the professors’ defense was that they got their data from the Manpower Ministry! Back then, everyone
was asking this question - why consider Singaporeans and Permanent
Residents as a whole? What is the exact numbers of Singaporeans and
Permanent Residents? Obviously, observers were hoping that the Manpower Ministry would disclose such exact numbers with regards to employment. Up till today, this question remains unanswered.
The headlines screamed:”Most efficient civil service” because the
report of the study reflected well on our civil service. Another feel
good piece. But this
12 page report by the Political and Economic Risk Consultancy reads
more like “An opinion piece by 1274 expatriates on the civil services
of Asian countries” as opposed to an objective ranking exercise.
------------------------------
Latest update as Singapore News Alternative:
1. Civil Servants Ranking - Same old numbers game, same old story
2. MM Lee’s trip to Malaysia next week sparks cynicism
.
http://yoursdp.org/index.php/news/singapore/1075-who-is-perc
Who is PERC?
Singapore Democrat, 22 Sep 2008
The Political and Economic Risk Consultancy or PERC, as it is commonly
referred to, is held in high praise by Singapore's establishment.
Mr Lee Kuan Yew himself placed the organisation in the same esteemed
group with global institutions like the International Bar Association
(IBA). That is, until IBA criticised the Judiciary, which then made it
a Western liberal NGO out to do this island in.
The Minister Mentor is not the only one, Ministers Mentee also cite the company whenever they get the chance.
The Straits Times regularly carries prominent reports written by it.
"Non-government" think-tanks like the Singapore Institute of International Affairs cannot resist citing it
Even our Supreme Court proudly refers to it.
So who or what is this group that is so admired by Singapore's establishment? Who runs this outfit and what does it do?
PERC's website tells us that it is a "consulting firm specializing in
strategic business information and analysis for companies" doing
business in East and Southeast Asia. It also produces a range of risk
reports on the strengths and weaknesses of individual countries in the
region. So far so solid.
But when it comes to information about who runs the organisation, the website is rather diffident. For example under "Senior Management", there is only one name -- a Robert Broadfoot who is described as an economics graduate “directly responsible for managing PERC's research and consulting.”
Is there a governing board? If yes, who is on it? If no, is PERC a sole-proprietorship? Does anyone else run the organisation with Mr Broadfoot?
Based in Hong Kong, PERC says it “coordinates a
team of researchers and analysts” but doesn't tell us who they are, how
many there are, and what their areas of expertise are. Do they work
full-time for the Consultancy or on an ad hoc project basis? If
part-time, what are their main occupations and what companies do they
work for?
The organisation also avers its "complete independence from any vested interest groups." Several
lines below, however, it says that it engages in "retainer work and
specific projects" and "in-house briefings" for international business
associations. Who these groups and associations are is not revealed.
Such information is important
as it allows the reader a gauge of just how independent the
organisation is and, by extension, how reliable its reports are. This
is especially salient when the reports are cited by governments for
political purposes. Simply asserting that the company is completely
independent does not make it so.
For example one of its analysts, Mr Bruce Gale, is also a senior writer with the Straits Times. Whether he continues to work for PERC is unclear as the website has no information on him.
Given the nature of the state-media arrangement in Singapore, it is
more than fair to ask what an employee of an organisation that is
supposed to have "complete independence" is doing writing for a
newspaper owned and run by a government. It is imperative that PERC
makes clear the status of Mr Gale.
Ironically, Mr Gale himself notes that "most political risk assessment
remains both superficial and subjective. Typically, such analysis is
very informal, consisting of little more than a few brief visits to the
country..."
Even the information about the surveys that PERC
conducts such as the kinds of questions asked, the variables used, the
sample characteristics, etc are not readily available. One
assumes that they are contained in the reports which cost US$645 to
subscribe annually. Analysis of the reliability and validity of such
surveys is lacking. This is a problem. Yet, the results are held next
to biblical truth by those who benefit from it.
The next and obvious question is: Who pays for PERC's services? One
will not be surprised to find Singapore's establishment a ready
customer. For example, the Nanyang Technological University and the
National Institute of Education are online subscribers to the
organisation's Monthly Risk reports.
And what do these reports contain? The page tells us that the topics
covered are "Politics, Economics, Business." Politics? The Singapore
Democrats can confirm that PERC has never attempted to seek our views
on matters political in Singapore. We're unsure if the Consultancy has
interviewed any other opposition party or civil society group. We could
easily find out by doing a search on its website. The only problem is
the website doesn't have a Search button.
Given that the organisation is so oft-quoted by the Singapore establishment, it is time that more questions are asked of PERC which must do a better job of providing background information about itself. A consultancy that assesses the political and economic risk of countries must surely understand the importance of transparency.
------------------------------
Latest update as Singapore News Alternative:
1. Civil Servants Ranking - Same old numbers game, same old story
2. MM Lee’s trip to Malaysia next week sparks cynicism
.